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1、通訊產業發展推動小組 4G技術發展現況與機會技術發展現況與機會宋庭禎宋庭禎6 March 2009通訊產業發展推動小組 Agenda1.The Mobile Evolution Towards 4GThe ITUs PerspectiveThe SDOs PerspectiveTechnology Enablers plan the future in advance at SDO and Industry Alliances meetings2.Who lead the Mobile Evolution towards 4G?IEEE 802.16 and WiMAX ForumLTE an
2、d LSTI Alliances3.How to Break ThroughTaiwan WiMAX Ecosystem通訊產業發展推動小組 What is 4G?ITU-Rs PerspectiveA high degree of commonality of functionality worldwide while retaining the flexibility to support a wide rage of services and applications in a.Capability of inter-working with other radio access sys
3、tems.Capability of services within IMT and with fixed networks.Enhanced peak data rates 100Mbps for high and 1Gbps for low mobilitySource:ITU-R M.1645(IMT Vision 2003)ChinaJapanKoreaUKEuropeJapanUSA mainlyUSA資料來源：本研究整理，ITRI/ICL 2009年2月Standard Development Organizations通訊產業發展推動小組 What is 4G?ITU-Rs Pe
4、rspectiveVisionRec M.1645RadioFramework&CoreSpecificationsMarket/Services viewTechnology viewSpectrum viewNamePrinciplesCPM TextWRC-07Services&Circular Letterfor process Proposals,Evaluation,&ConsensusBuilding2002-20032005-20072006-20082008-2010Setting the Stage for Future Vision,Spectrum,and Techno
5、logy ViewsDefining theTechnology2000-2003Proceeding Toward 4G(IMT-ADVANCED)2010-2012Q229-1/8NowIM-EVAL and IMT-Tech DocumentSource:ITU-R M.1645(IMT Vision 2003)通訊產業發展推動小組 What is 4G?SDOs Perspective2001-20052006HSDPA Phase I1.8M/3.6MbpsHSDPA Phase II7.2/14.4MbpsHSUPA2M/5.76MbpsLTE(FDD)In 20MHz(Rel.8
6、)DL PDR:326MpsUL PDR:86kpsWCDMAR99/R4384kbps3GPP Evolution200720082009HSPA+DL 40MbpsUL 10Mbps1xEV-DO Rev.0DL:2.4MbpsUL:153.6kbpsDO Rev.B（MC DO）DL：46.5MbpsUL:27Mbps1xEV-D0 Rev.ADL:3.1MbpsUL:1.8MbpsCDMA 1X153kbps20102011IEEE802.16e70MbpsWiMAX EvolutionIEEE802.16d20MbpsIMTAdvancedTechnologyLTE-Advanced
7、(Rel.9)IEEE802.16mDL:100MbpsUL:50MbpsSource:本計畫整理,4G研討會 Dec.20083GPP2 EvolutionTD-SCDMA EvolutionR2 CertificationR 1.5 CertificationR1.0/Wave 2 CertificationLTE TDDLTE-AdvancedDL:1GbpsUL:150 Mbps(Rel.10)通訊產業發展推動小組 Technology Enablers plan the future in advance at SDO and Industry Alliances meetingsW
8、ideband towards MobilityWideband towards MobilityWiMAX CampMobile Evolution is Towards ConvergenceLTE CampMobile towards WidebandMobile towards WidebandSource:本計畫整理,MWC March 2009IMT-Advanced GOALSFlexible spectrum utilizationAll IP networkBroadband servicesLow CAPEX and OPEX垂直產業垂直產業異業結盟異業結盟技術整合技術整合
9、研發產銷研發產銷Source:MIC,產銷分享會產銷分享會 2007通訊產業發展推動小組 Samsung LTE Product RoadmapSource:本計畫整理,MWC March 2009LSTILTE Rel 9StandardDevelopment200920102011eNBTerminalRAN 2,3,4 Mar.09RAN 5 June 09Release 9 (Dec 09)SAE Stage 3 Mar 09Release 9 (Dec 09)POC(Jan 08 March 09)IODT(Jan 09 Oct 09)IOT(Nov 09 Mar 10)FCT(Oc
10、t 09 June 10)Field Trial SystemPre-Standard for LSTI Dec 082.6GHz/700MHz20MHz BW2x2/4x2 MIMO,SONCommercial SystemCommercial HW/SW ready2.6GHz/700MHz1.420MHz BW2x2/4x2 MIMO,SONHotZone20MHz BW2x2/4x4 MIMO,SONData Card PrototypeCommercial Handset從從Samsung LTE產產品品Roadmap來看，來看，2009年將推出年將推出Data Card，2010年
11、年起推出起推出LTE手機。手機。通訊產業發展推動小組 小結小結資料來源：TC Song研究整理，ITRI/ICL2009年2月From ITU-R Perspectives:IMT-Advanced Spectrum was finalized at WRC07.IMT-Advanced Radio Access Technology is now under-progress with SDOs.Specification Recommendation will be expected by year 2011.From SDOs Perspective:LTE-Advanced and W
12、iMAX 16m(not Rel.2)will be submitted and evaluated by mid of 2010.From Alliances Perspective:WiMAX Rel.2 will only be ready for commercial phase after 2012.LTE and LTE-Advanced Industrial Evaluation Group(LSTI)is expected to have Friendly Trial ready by year 2010.LTE-Advanced(Rel.10)will be released
13、 a year later.Operators should rather wait to avoid double investment.From Global Operators Perspectives:Timing of the roll-out and uptake of 4G application and services should follow:Mobile Computing,Mobile(2.0)Services and Mobile CE Devices and data Business model to be suitable for High throughpu
14、t at Mobile.通訊產業發展推動小組 Agenda1.The Mobile Evolution Towards 4GThe Regulatory DevelopmentTechnology Enablers plan the future in advance at SDO and Industry Alliances meetings2.Who lead the Mobile Evolution towards 4G?IEEE 802.16 and WiMAX ForumLTE and LSTI Alliances3.How to Break ThroughTaiwan WiMAX
15、Ecosystem通訊產業發展推動小組 IEEE 802.16m 技術開發現況技術開發現況Company NameNo#58#48#58#48Samsung Electronics146279.60%10.11%Intel Corp.239168.14%5.99%Huawei Technologies333106.89%3.75%LG42795.64%3.37%ETRI527175.64%6.37%Motorola820194.18%7.12%ITRI62354.80%1.87%Nokia72174.38%2.62%Fujitsu Laboratories917123.55%4.49%Nort
16、el Networks1115133.13%4.87%ZTE101653.34%1.87%MTK1215-3.13%III131052.09%1.87%Mitsubishi Electric14871.67%2.62%NextWave159-1.88%Alcatel Lucent166-1.25%Qualcomm1840.84%Marvel194-0.84%Ericsson1751.04%DoCoMo20320.63%0.75%Total Voting Members479362100%100%據了解據了解，除了除了Intel及及Samsung將會進行將會進行IEEE 802.16m Self
17、 Evaluation以外以外，目前尚未有公司公佈目前尚未有公司公佈16m Trial的合作的合作，是否大多公司還處於觀望姿態是否大多公司還處於觀望姿態?資料來源：TC Song研究整理，ITRI/ICL2009年2月通訊產業發展推動小組 WiMAX ForumWiMAX Forum在在2001年由英特爾、諾基亞與年由英特爾、諾基亞與Alvarion等創建。全球目前共有等創建。全球目前共有530家會員台灣目前有家會員台灣目前有39家會員家會員廠商，包含一個董事會員、以及廠商，包含一個董事會員、以及15個主要會員。個主要會員。WiMAX Forum目前有目前有17個董事會成員個董事會成員近年來台
18、灣在推動近年來台灣在推動WiMAX產產業的發展不遺餘力，受到業的發展不遺餘力，受到全球全球WiMAX產產業的高度肯定。業的高度肯定。在在MWC 2009 Intel Booth公佈公佈 WiMAX佈建於佈建於135 國家，國家，可服務可服務430M人人資料來源：WiMAX Taipei Office,本研究整理，ITRI/ICL2009年2月通訊產業發展推動小組 3GPP LTE DevelopmentLTE獲獲NGMN及多家國際電及多家國際電信業者宣布採用後聲勢急漲信業者宣布採用後聲勢急漲電信業者自電信業者自2009年起將陸續年起將陸續開始透過開始透過LSTI測試、甚至商測試、甚至商用化佈建
19、。用化佈建。Resource:ATIS LTE Conference,本研究整理，ITRI/ICL2009年2月GSM Association 4 billion connections worldwide219 countries and territories750 mobile operators通訊產業發展推動小組 LSTI Alliances3GPP之組織較完整及嚴謹之組織較完整及嚴謹，目前已目前已由以下公司成立由以下公司成立IMT-Advanced Evaluation Group並在並在LSTI做做Field Trial。Where is Taiwan!通訊產業發展推動小組 全球
20、全球WiMAX及及LTE電信業者分佈圖電信業者分佈圖North AmericaLTEVerizon Wireless(4Q09)AT&T Mobility(4Q09)T-Mobile(4Q12)Bell Canada&TelusMetroPCSWiMAX 16eClearWire(469,000 subs.Sep08)BrazilEuropeLTEVodafone(German 4Q11,Britain 4Q12)Orange(Britain 4Q11)T-Mobile(German 4Q11)Telecom Italia(4Q10)TeliaSonera(4Q10)WiMAX 16eRuss
21、iaAsiaLTE中國移動中國移動(China)中國電信中國電信(China)NTT DoCoMo(Japan4Q10)KDDI(Japan 4Q10)Softbank Mobile(Japan 4Q12)SK Telecom(Korea)KTF(Korea)WiMAX 16eUQ Communication(Japan)KT(Korea)M-Taiwan Program(Taiwan)India WiMAX Program(India)註註:畫底線為畫底線為CDMA運營商運營商，括號內為預計開通括號內為預計開通LTE服務時間服務時間)Source:Digitimes 2009/1整理整理:I
22、TRI 2009/03但全球經濟狀況不佳但全球經濟狀況不佳，電信業者能否順利募集大規模佈建電信業者能否順利募集大規模佈建LTE資金資金，現況現況Business Model是否適合是否適合Mobile Broadband發展發展，仍有相當仍有相當變數變數。LTE電信業者已公佈電信業者已公佈，將延遲佈建進度至少將延遲佈建進度至少35年年通訊產業發展推動小組 國際知名設備及系統整合大廠之動向國際知名設備及系統整合大廠之動向 IMT-Advanced Wideband towards MobilityWideband towards MobilityWiMAX CampAnd other WiMAX
23、 Forum MembersMobile towards WidebandMobile towards WidebandSource:本計畫整理,MWC March 2009LTE Camp通訊產業發展推動小組 Agenda1.The Mobile Evolution Towards 4GThe Regulatory DevelopmentTechnology Enablers plan the future in advance at SDO and Industry Alliances meetings2.Who lead the Mobile Evolution towards 4G?I
24、EEE 802.16 and WiMAX ForumLTE and LSTI Alliances3.How to Break ThroughM-Taiwan Program通訊產業發展推動小組 M-Taiwan Program&Taiwan WiMAX EcosystemWiMAX ecosystemM-TaiwanM-TaiwanStrategic partnershipsCommercial Test BedWiMAX Forum Total solutionsGlobal Global Interoperability InteroperabilityTax IncentivesGrantsPolicy資料來源：M-Taiwan Office,本研究整理，ITRI/ICL 2009年2月M-Taiwan奠定奠定了良好的通訊基了良好的通訊基礎，推動模式及礎，推動模式及國際合作之先例。國際合作之先例。建立建立Taiwan WiMAX EcosystemTaiwan WiMAX Ecosystem 將有將有助於推展助於推展4G市市場的發展。場的發展。通訊產業發展推動小組 演讲完毕，谢谢观看！