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1、 1/5 RisksandchallengesoftheEUexpansion 演讲范文 i.introduction for several years now the european union is discussing a possible enlargement,because several european countries have applied for membership in the eu.these are especially the former socialist countries in eastern europe,that have clearly t
2、urned towards the west since the collapse of the iron curtain.these countries are bulgaria,the baltic countries latvia,lithuania and estonia,poland,romania,the slovak republic,the czech republic,slovenia and hungary.in addition turkey,cyprus and malta are trying for quite some time already to join t
3、he eu.these application are not to be accepted without any further deliberation because they do bring along some risks and the consequences are hard to distinguish therefore these countries are not very expected joining the european union in the near future and will therefore not be included in the
4、following evaluation.ii.risks and challenges if we wants to evaluate the risks and challenges of an up but seen from a global economical perspective the joining of spain and portugal was overall positive for the ec and the two countries,although spain struggled with a further rise of unemployment an
5、d disparities within the the disparities within the union will most certainly increase when it in case of the approaching expansion towards eastern europe the union will have to resolve several problems,the most severe being without any doubt the financial one that will go along with the extension,e
6、stimated to be 5-6 billion 2/5 annually,just for the technologically underdeveloped agriculture in the new member states.the financial problem will also lead to a temporary discontent among the population of the existing members,since the financial load on the countries will cause budget cuts becaus
7、e the new members will undoubtedly belong to the payees rather than the payers.especially the mediterranean members,for instance italy,spain etc.fear cuts in their subsidies particularly the agricultural ones,and agriculture is already making up the biggest part of the eus budget.of course it is als
8、o to be questioned whether with the joining of economically weak countries the economies of the richer members are not weakened.what should be taken into consideration as well is the impact the joining will have on the population of the candidates,especially considering the rights they will gain whe
9、n they are citizens of the european of course their but because the expansion represents a political necessity one should also take into account the positive aspects caused by such a historic event.with the expansion the continent would take a huge step towards the ethnic integration within europe,d
10、ifferent cultures would be facing each other and could also profit from each other.also the global iii.changes in administration it is obvious that an expansion potentially including ten countries would not be feasible without fundamental institutional reforms.3/5 for instance with the existing stru
11、cture of the union which allocates most of the power to the european council,where each member state has one vote,it would be imaginable that smaller members would have a majority over the larger members.except for poland,which is by population another point is that with more than twenty members the
12、 decision finding and making process needs to be a changed legislature would also keep the democratic thought that the entire eu is based on alive and not vanish it like the existing system.what should also be pointed out is the fact that an increase in members could lead to new coalitions within th
13、e union and also increase what should also be considered is a change in european agricultural policy,which should actually be reformed already.the system of milk quotas,subsidies etc.which subsidises an over-production in many areas,just not to infuriate the farmers,because smaller farms would not b
14、e able to survive without the subsidies and the entire face of the european primary sector would change is iv.successful without absorbing the new members?it is obvious that this question needs to be answered with a clear no.the existing members of the eu are already being absorbed by it and they ha
15、ve all chosen this faith.the goals of the european union do state the loss of sovereignty in the areas of economic and currency politics,the latter one already realized,also in the political areas of social politics,education,research,consumer protection,health and also environmental issues.now one
16、could argue how many of these goals need to be realized in order for the eu to be successful,from the british point of view for 4/5 example the cooperation in economic issues and the creation of the single market have already been enough,considering their opinion towards the maastricht treaty.if one
17、 would see it from the british point of view the eu could be successful without absorbing the new members,but since most other countries would like to see the above mentioned goals implied and would like to realize the dream of de gaulle,adenauer and others of the united states of europe,the new mem
18、bers would surrender a huge part of their sovereignty and consequently would be absorbed by the eu,especially considering that they will join in a couple of years at the earliest when european integration will hopefully have advanced beyond the point it is today.another point one could consider is w
19、hat would happen if the european integration would further advance up to the point of the united states of europe without any new countries joining.this would create another superpower alongside the usa and the then non-members would live in the shadow of the eu or whatever its name would be by that
20、 time and also be absorbed by the enormous power,in any terms,of their big neighbour just like the caribbean,canada and mexico,even the entire americas are by the usa.so the conclusion drawn by this could be that the central and eastern european countries would be better off in any case if they join
21、ed the eu even if they had to surrender much of their sovereignty.sources:(1)(march 17th,XX)(2)(april 5th,XX)(3)informationen zur politischen bildung:europische union(bpb,1995)(4)microsoft encarta 98 5/5 (5)mittel-und osteuropa auf dem weg in die europische union(werner weidenfeld,verlag bertelsmann stiftung,1996)(6)(april 1st,XX)risks and challenges of the eu expansion