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1、Report on Chinese Automobile Industrys Response to Financial Crisis Influence and Development Tactics from 2008 to 2010Beijing Business & Intelligence Consulting Co., LtdDec. 2008【Report Name】Report on Chinese Automobile Industrys Response to Financial Crisis Influence and Development Tactics from 2
2、008 to 2010【Key Words】Report, automobile industry, response, financial crisis, influence, and development tactics【Execution Time】Dec. 2008 【Company Name】Beijing Business & Intelligence Consulting Co., Ltd.【Terms of Delivery】EMS, E-Mail【Lead Time】Five Workdays【Report Format】Word Format【Report Pages】p
3、ages【Report Charts】charts【Chinese Price】Printing Edition: RMB 5800; Electronic Edition; RMB 4900;Printing & Electronic Edition: RMB 6900【English Price】Printing Edition: 3000; Electronic Edition 3500;Printing & Electronic Edition: 4000【Account bank】Industrial & Commercial Bank of China, Beijing Branc
4、h, Huichengmen Sub-branch【Account No.】0200041409020705975【Account Name】Beijing Business & Intelligence Consulting Co., Ltd.【Writers】【Tel】Tel: (8610) 82961270/82961271 Fax: (8610) 82961279【Email】Liuyan778vip.sina ; jqczlychinajqcz 【Service MSN】Liuyan080218hotmail ；jqcz0818hotmail IntroductionIn 2008,
5、 the Wall Street crisis not only spreads to the global financial market, but also transfers from fictitious economy to the real economy. The financial crisis may become dollar crisis, even economic crisis. The global economy will involve in the recessionary risk. With the influence of the American f
6、inancial crisis, the global financial market shocks sharply. The main stock market is dropping sharply. The whole market is full of fear and confidence crisis. Even though the USA has passed lots of plans to save the market, it cant prevent the stock tumble in the world. Due to the impact of the Ame
7、rican financial crisis, the large financial institutions have experienced the profit decline, more assets write-down and credit loss in the world for the consecutive quarters. Moreover, at present, the economy of the main economic bodies accelerates to decline and the global economic recession is mo
8、re obvious. With the influence of global financial crisis, the growth rate of the Chinese economy begins to reduce. Because of the increasing cost and declining benefit, it has influenced the investment willingness and ability of some enterprises and then restricted the consumption growth. At presen
9、t, the Chinese steel industry, electrical power industry and automobile industry tend to decline. The global financial crisis is severer. In order to withstand the negative influence of the international economic environment, China should adopt flexible and careful macroeconomic policy to deal with
10、the complicated and volatile situation. At present, the government should implement the proactive fiscal policy and loose monetary policy, release the measures to enlarge the domestic demand, accelerate the construction of civil engineering, infrastructure and ecological environment and the post-dis
11、aster reconstruction, raise the income level of the urban and rural residents, especially the low-income populations, and promote the economy to grow steadily and quickly. Because of the capital control, the financial crisis has limited immediate influence on the Chinese economy through the financia
12、l channel. But due to the closer economic relation among China, the USA and the world, the indirect influence on the long-term development of the Chinese economy cant be underestimated. As the end of 2008 approaches, the influence of the international financial crisis on the Chinese economy is deepe
13、ning and spreading: The influence on the Chinese export-oriented enterprises continues to deepen, the enterprise orders in Southeastern China continue to reduce, and more enterprises cant receive any new orders. The influence transfers from the fictitious economy to the real economy. The influence e
14、xpands from the eastern coast to the central and western regions. The influence transmits from the economy to the social life, especially the employment. Although the basic development trend of the Chinese economy hasnt changed, the influence of the international financial crisis has not been seen c
15、learly. Moreover, the crisis transmission needs a process. In 2009, the influence on the Chinese economy may be severer. Under the macro-control of the central government, China has started a defending war to enlarge the domestic demand and promote the growth. In Nov. 2008, the Chinese government an
16、nounced an economic stimulus whose total investment was 4000 billion RMB for two years. This stimulus caused the intense reaction all over the world. The action will improve the market confidence and be good for maintaining the steady growth of the Chinese economy. Under the current global financial
17、 crisis, China enlarge the investment in the infrastructure construction which can enlarge the domestic demand effectively and cover the shortage of overseas market demand caused by the financial crisis. According to this stimulus, by the end of 2010, the Chinese government will spend 4000 billion R
18、MB on the construction of infrastructure, public transportation and ecological environment and the post-disaster reconstruction, the civil engineering, and the improvement of the income level of the urban and rural residents, especially the low-income populations. Meanwhile, the Chinese fiscal polic
19、y and monetary policy change their direction. The fiscal policy changes from steady policy to proactive policy while the monetary policy changes from tight policy to loose policy. The regional governments pay attention to the great construction projects in order to drive the economic growth by the i
20、nvestment. In 2008, the total investment will exceed 16000 billion RMB in China. Under the current situation, the automobile industry pay attention to the subjects which include how to judge the development trends of the financial crisis, how to deeply understand the development status quo and risk
21、factors of the Chinese real economy, and how to comprehensively analyze the development status quo and operation trends of all industries in China. How does the financial crisis influence the Chinese automobile industry under this situation? How do the Chinese automobile enterprises analyze the curr
22、ent development situation and draw up the countermeasures? The most important one is that how to find the opportunities to make bigger development in the crisis.This research report is written by the China Industrial Research Institute on basis of lots of careful market research. It is written accor
23、ding to the basic information of the National Bureau of Statistics of China, Ministry of Commerce, National Development and Reform Commission, Development Research Center of the State Council, General Administration of Customs, related associations of the automobile industry and related domestic and
24、 foreign publication; and the mass data released and supplied by the professional research institutes of automobile industry. Combining with the market research data and standing on the development situation of the global financial crisis, the report sums up the general laws of the financial crisis
25、and then analyzes the influence of the current financial crisis on the global and Chinese economy, policy and main industries. The report mainly discusses the influence of the current financial crisis on the automobile industry and judges the whole environment and development trends of the future au
26、tomobile industry. Finally, on basis of the above analyses and predictions, the report analyzes the countermeasures of the automobile industry. And it supplies accurate market information and scientific decision basis for the strategic investors to perceive the opportunities, regulate the management
27、 tactics and choose the correct investment strategies in the intensive competition and for the leader to make up the strategic program. Meanwhile it has important reference value for the credit department of banking.It is a special research report for the Chinese automobile enterprises to deal with
28、the international financial crisis. According to specific requirements put forward by enterprises of different types and industries, our institute will re-perfect industrial data and analyze contents on basis of the contents. And then we will supply advisory services for the enterprises to deal with
29、 the current situation.ContentsPart 1 Analysis of financial crisis12Chapter 1 Basic law and research of financial crisis12Section 1 Overview of financial crisis121. Definition122. Types123. Features12Section 2 Classification of financial crisis121. Currency crisis122. Banking crisis123. Debt crisis1
30、24. Capital market crisis125. Mixed crisis12Section 3 Cause of financial crisis121. Immediate cause122. Deep cause12Section 4 Summary of typical features and laws before crisis121. High growth of economy for many years122. In-flow of large amount of foreign capital123. Quick growth of domestic credi
31、t124. General over-investment125. Quickly rising of price of stock and real estate126. Continuous trade deficit127. Undervalued currency128. Occurrence mechanism and laws of crisis12Section 5 All previous financial crises121. 1929 financial collapse (the USA) and policy122. 1990s Scandinavian bankin
32、g crisis123. 1990 Japan banking crisis and policy124. Chinese economy and policy under subprime mortgage crisis12Section 6 Experience of international markets response to financial crisis121. American securities markets response to famous financial crises122. Japan financial markets response to fina
33、ncial crisis123. Southeast Asias response to financial crisis124. Hong Kongs response to financial crisis12Chapter 2 Formation of current financial crisis12Section 1 Formation of American subprime mortgage crisis121. Definition of subprime mortgage122. Formation, transmission and enlargement of subp
34、rime mortgage13Section 2 Sources of American subprime mortgage131. Loose monetary policy132. Subprime mortgage crisis from the angle of global economic imbalance133. Lots of derivatives brought by financial innovation13Section 3 Causes and sources of American subprime mortgage crisis131. Adjustment
35、of American house market132. Generation of credit risk13Section 4 Formation of global financial crisis131. Subprime mortgage crisis spreads across the world132. Policies and effects of all countries to intervene in the market in 2008133. Severity and development trends of current crisis13Chapter 3 B
36、lasting fuse of financial crisis- subprime mortgage crisis13Section 1 Causes of American subprime mortgage crisis131. Immediate cause132. Deep cause13Section 2 Mechanism of subprime mortgage crisis131. Generation of subprime mortgage crisis132. Subprime mortgage crisis transfers from credit market t
37、o capital market133. Subprime mortgage crisis transfers from capital market to credit market134. Subprime mortgage crisis transfers from financial market to real economy135. Conclusion of subprime mortgage crisis13Section 3 Deep causes and development stages of American financial crisis131. Immediat
38、e cause132. Deep analysis133. Development stages13Section 4 New development of American financial crisis131. Century feature of American financial crisis132. Interventions of American financial management department from 2008 to 2009133. American plan for saving economy from 2008 to 200913Section 5
39、Influence of American subprime mortgage crisis on economy131. Influence of American subprime mortgage crisis on American economy132. Influence of American subprime mortgage crisis on global economy133. Chinese countermeasures on dealing with American subprime mortgage crisis13Part 2 Influence of fin
40、ancial crisis on global economy13Chapter 4 Global economic trends under financial crisis from 2009 to 201013Section 1 Global economic trends in 2008131. Global economic trends in the first nine months of 2008132. Global economic trends in the fourth quarter of 200813Section 2 American economic trend
41、s from 2009 to 2010131. Development status quo of American economy in 2008132. Prediction for development trends of American economy from 2009 to 201013Section 3 Economic trends of European Union from 2009 to 2010131. Development status quo of European Union economy from 2009 to 2010132. Prediction
42、for development trends of European Union economy from 2009 to 201013Section 4 Asian economic trends from 2009 to 2010131. Development status quo of Asian economy from 2009 to 2010142. Prediction for development trends of Asian economy from 2009 to 201014Section 5 Japan economic trends from 2009 to 2
43、010141. Development status quo of Japan economy from 2009 to 2010142. Prediction for development trends of Japan economy from 2009 to 201014Section 6 Korean economic trends from 2009 to 2010141. Development status quo of Korean economy from 2009 to 2010142. Prediction for development trends of Korea
44、n economy from 2009 to 201014Section 7 Influence of financial crisis on global economy from 2009 to 2010141. Influence of financial crisis on global economy142. Analysis and prediction for global economic trends from 2009 to 201014Chapter 5 Influence of financial crisis on global economy and policy1
45、4Section 1 Influence of financial crisis on global economy141. Influence of financial crisis on real economy in all countries142. Development trends of international financial crisis and its international influence143. Development status quo and trends of financial crisis in 2008144. Prediction for
46、global economic growth from 2009 to 201014Section 2 Global economic trends in 2008141. Main features of global economy in the first nine months of 2008142. Main features of global economy in the fourth quarter of 2008143. Main problems of global economy in 2008144. Main countermeasures on dealing wi
47、th change of international economy145. Prospect of global economic trends from 2009 to 201014Section 3 Influence of financial crisis on main economic bodies141. Influence of financial crisis on North America in 2008142. Influence of financial crisis on European Union in 2008143. Influence of financi
48、al crisis on Asia in 2008144. Influence of financial crisis on Latin America in 200814Section 4 Measures of main economic bodies to deal with financial crisis141. Measures of North America in 2008142. Measures of European Union in 2008143. Measures of Asia in 2008144. Measures of Latin America in 200814Section 5 Research on countermeasures of all coun